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Bianco Warns Crypto Could Be 2025's Weakest Asset Class if Bitcoin and Ethereum Fail to Recover

Prominent market analyst Jim Bianco has indicated that the cryptocurrency sector faces the risk of becoming the least successful asset class of 2025 if the leading digital currencies, Bitcoin and Ethereum, continue their downward trend through the remainder of the year.

Cryptocurrency Performance in 2025 and Market Dynamics

As 2025 unfolds, the trajectory of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum has drawn close scrutiny from financial experts. Bitcoin, which began the year around $93,463, briefly fell below this threshold before slightly recovering to approximately $95,871, marking a modest year-to-date increase. In contrast, Ethereum started at $3,331 but has seen a decline to roughly $3,209, showing a year-to-date loss. These movements underscore a volatile period for the crypto market, prompting discussions about its overall performance relative to other asset classes.

Jim Bianco, head of Bianco Research, highlighted that despite considerable investment into Bitcoin Spot ETFs—approximately $59 billion since January 2024, with an average acquisition cost of $90,146—these investments would have yielded greater unrealized gains if held in cash. This observation points to a challenging environment where the performance of digital assets has not met expectations for some investors. The influx into ETFs, while significant, has not consistently translated into sustained market appreciation, leading to concerns about the sector's short-term profitability and its standing among global asset classes.

Expert Outlook and Investor Confidence Amid Volatility

Amidst the fluctuating cryptocurrency market, experts offer varied perspectives on the future of Bitcoin and Ethereum. Hunter Horsley, CEO of Bitwise Asset Management, views the current Bitcoin price points as an opportune entry for new investors. He remains optimistic about the potential for digital assets throughout 2025, anticipating that Bitcoin will continue to gain market share from traditional safe-haven assets like gold. This perspective emphasizes a belief in the long-term growth and increasing acceptance of cryptocurrencies despite present-day challenges.

Adding to this sentiment, Michael Saylor of Strategy Inc. has consistently voiced his strong belief in Bitcoin's inherent value. Even with recent price drops, Saylor asserts that his company's position remains secure, highlighting Bitcoin's robust long-term performance, which has shown an average annual return of 50% over the last half-decade. However, the market has recently experienced significant turbulence, including Bitcoin's fall below $96,000, which has driven the Crypto Fear and Greed Index to low levels. This period also saw substantial outflows from ETFs, totaling $869.9 million in a single day, reflecting heightened investor caution and market uncertainty.

Elon Musk Amazed by AI Compute Spending as Google Invests $40 Billion in Texas

In a recent development highlighting the burgeoning Artificial Intelligence sector, entrepreneur Elon Musk voiced his amazement at the substantial financial commitments being made towards AI computational power. His comments followed Google's announcement of a massive $40 billion investment slated for Texas, dedicated to enhancing its cloud and AI infrastructure. This colossal expenditure underscores the intense and rapidly accelerating growth within the artificial intelligence domain.

Google, a subsidiary of Alphabet Inc., is channeling this significant capital into the state of Texas through 2027. The investment's primary focus is on expanding its cloud services and bolstering AI capabilities. This initiative includes the establishment of new data centers in Armstrong and Haskell Counties, marking a considerable physical expansion of Google's technological footprint.

Beyond infrastructure development, Google's commitment extends to local community and workforce enhancement. Sundar Pichai, Google's CEO, indicated that the company plans to fund programs designed to more than double the number of qualified electricians in Texas. Furthermore, this investment is projected to create thousands of new job opportunities, simultaneously reinforcing the region's energy resilience and availability, a crucial factor given the energy demands of modern data centers.

This surge in AI infrastructure development, however, comes with its own set of challenges, particularly concerning energy consumption. A report from the International Energy Agency (IEA), titled 'World Energy Outlook 2025,' points out that the proliferation of AI data centers is significantly driving up electricity demand. The report further notes a re-reliance on natural gas as a primary energy source, as renewable energy projects struggle to keep pace with the rapidly expanding infrastructure needs of the AI industry.

Musk anticipates that the current levels of spending on AI computing are just the tip of the iceberg. He remarked on social media that there are "many orders of magnitude to go," suggesting a future where investment in AI will dwarf current figures. His own venture, xAI, is part of a larger investor group that includes tech giants like Nvidia Corp., Microsoft Corp., and asset management firm BlackRock Inc., which collectively are involved in another $40 billion data center project in Texas. This parallel investment further illustrates the widespread belief in the sustained and exponential growth of AI computing requirements.

The extensive investments by major technology companies like Google and the active participation of figures such as Elon Musk signal a profound shift towards an AI-centric future. The race to build robust AI and cloud infrastructure is not only shaping the technological landscape but also impacting energy sectors and workforce development on a grand scale, with Texas emerging as a key hub for this digital transformation.

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Pandemic Policies Render Homeownership Unattainable for a Generation, Warns Amherst CEO

Sean Dobson, CEO of the Amherst Group, has issued a stark warning that the extensive economic policies implemented during the COVID-19 pandemic have driven U.S. housing expenses to unprecedented levels, effectively shutting out an entire generation from property ownership. He contends that the extraordinary measures, such as stimulus packages and exceptionally low interest rates, have artificially inflated real estate values, rendering them unaffordable for typical families. Dobson's analysis suggests that the current housing market presents a more severe affordability challenge than even the peak of the 2006 housing bubble, with mortgage obligations consuming a disproportionate share of median income.

Dobson's remarks, delivered at the ResiDay conference, underscore his belief that the nation is now confronting the ramifications of the economic response to the pandemic. He pointed out that the proportion of income required for a standard FHA mortgage has now exceeded the levels seen during the height of the mid-2000s real estate boom. Amherst's internal projections indicate that the combined expenses of principal, interest, taxes, and insurance now account for approximately 43% of the median income, a figure significantly higher than historical averages. This severe strain on household budgets is primarily attributed to a confluence of factors: pandemic-era monetary policies, a sharp rise in asset valuations, and a lack of corresponding wage growth.

He emphasized the profound disconnect between current housing prices and their intrinsic value, stating that significant adjustments in pricing, interest rates, or income levels would be necessary to alleviate the situation, none of which appear imminent. This assessment casts a pessimistic shadow over the prospects for many aspiring homeowners.

The debate around housing affordability has also seen a flurry of proposals, including former President Donald Trump's suggestion for 50-year mortgages. While presented as a potential remedy for the housing crisis, this idea has faced substantial criticism from various quarters, including conservatives, economists, and legislators. Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene, for instance, voiced concerns that such a plan would ensnare families in perpetual debt, advocating instead for restrictions on corporate property acquisitions and reductions in capital gains taxes.

Similarly, investor Kevin O'Leary dismissed the 50-year mortgage concept as impractical. He argued that persistent inflation and the unlikelihood of declining interest rates would lead borrowers to incur significantly higher overall costs over the extended repayment period, despite lower monthly payments. O'Leary contended that the policy failed to address the economic realities faced by first-time homebuyers, famously quipping that individuals would likely pass away before their mortgages were fully settled. On the other hand, Senator Elizabeth Warren linked rising housing costs to Trump's tariff policies, asserting that they had increased expenses for both constructing and purchasing homes, making the market less accessible for Americans.

The ongoing discussion highlights a complex interplay of economic forces and policy decisions that have contributed to the current housing affordability crisis. Experts and politicians continue to grapple with finding viable solutions to ensure that homeownership remains a realistic aspiration for future generations amidst these challenging market conditions.

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