Asset Finance Market Witnesses Decline in New Business Amidst Economic Uncertainty

Data unveiled today by the Finance & Leasing Association (FLA) indicates a 7% drop in total asset finance new business for April 2025 when compared to the same month in 2024. However, during the initial four months of 2025, new business transactions showed a modest 2% increase relative to the corresponding period in 2024. Notably, the commercial vehicle finance and business new car finance sectors experienced declines of 8% and 4%, respectively, while the business equipment finance and plant and machinery finance sectors each saw contractions of 5%. Geraldine Kilkelly, Director of Research and Chief Economist at the FLA, highlighted that excluding high-value deals exceeding £20 million, the decline was less pronounced, with only a 1% reduction from April 2024 levels.
The recent figures released by the FLA provide insight into the current state of the asset finance market. The data reveals that despite an overall decline in new business in April, there are signs of resilience in specific areas. For instance, excluding large-scale financial agreements, growth remains positive. This suggests that smaller transactions continue to play a significant role in sustaining market activity. Moreover, the FLA’s Q2 2025 industry outlook survey reflects ongoing optimism among asset finance professionals. Over three-quarters of respondents anticipate some level of growth in new business over the coming year, despite challenges posed by subdued business investment.
In examining the broader context, it is evident that the asset finance sector faces both challenges and opportunities. Key sectors such as construction and green assets present potential for growth, which could be bolstered by anticipated interest rate cuts. These factors contribute to a forecast of single-digit growth in new business by value over the next 12 months. While the market has encountered a setback in April, the underlying fundamentals indicate a path toward recovery and expansion.
As the asset finance market navigates through economic uncertainties, it is clear that strategic adjustments will be necessary to capitalize on emerging opportunities. The FLA's findings underscore the importance of focusing on smaller transactions and leveraging favorable conditions in key sectors. By doing so, the industry can position itself for sustained growth in the future. The prospect of interest rate reductions and increased activity in critical areas provides a foundation for optimism amidst current challenges.